Green Lighting Movie Scripts: Revenue Forecasting and Risk Management

Written By: Jonathan Rayos | Category: News | Comments : 0 comments

Plenty of movie fans think Hollywood fare has become too rote.

Now, some professors at U Penn’s Wharton School and NYU’s Stern School present a case for making it even more formulaic.

In their paper “Green Lighting Movie Scripts: Revenue Forecasting and Risk Management” Jehoshua Eliashberg, Sam K. Hui, and John Zhang show Hollywood how it’s done. Never mind the stars or directors hired— they say it’s possible to predict a movie’s eventual box-office success by simply applying their mathematical formula to the script.

The academics analyzed the scripts of 200 movies released between 1995 and 2006. They coded the scripts for different variables ranging from the percentage of interior scenes to whether they included a strong nemesis.

Their conclusion: the most important variables in predicting box-office performance are whether the film is in the action genre, how conflict builds, and whether the conflict is multidimensional.

They also looked at risk-adjusted return on capital, and conclude that the movies with the best returns are in what they call the family-movie genre, followed by comedy. The worst risk-adjusted returns are on horror movies, the academics say.

“Based on our interactions with industry executives, forecasting and risk management are the two capabilities that are sorely needed in the movie industry in order to transform it from an intuition and experience-based decision making into a more science-based decision making,” Eliashberg, Hui, and Zhang write. “A science-based approach can pay off handsomely.”

Maybe, just maybe, there’s hope for a little less greenlighting of the “Prince of Persias” of the future and a little more like “Toy Story 3.”

Read the white paper : http://w4.stern.nyu.edu/news/docs/hui_scripts_5.6.2010.pdf

International movie audiances changing the landscape of Hollywood

Written By: Jonathan Rayos | Category: News | Comments : 0 comments

:: The rising clout of international audiences is a sea change for Hollywood. Decades ago, a movie’s foreign box office barely registered with studio executives. Now, foreign ticket sales represent nearly 68% of the roughly $32 billion global film market, up from roughly 58% a decade ago, according to Screen Digest Cinema Intelligence Service.

:: The rise of the international box office has as much to do with a shifting global economy as with the evolution of the movie business. For years, Hollywood’s bottom line was propped up by double-digit growth in DVD sales. From 2000 to 2005, for example, home-video sales increased by 91% in the U.S. But during the tough economy of the past two years, home video—which used to account for the bulk of a film’s profits—fell more than 20%, according to Screen Digest U.S. Video Intelligence Service. Dwindling in-theater audiences in North America also have contributed to the shift.

Jonathan C. Rayos

CEO :: Executive Producer

FilmEmerge :: FilmEmerge Productions

www.filmemerge.com

source: wsj.com

2010 Waterfront Film Festival – Saugatuck, Michigan

Written By: Jonathan Rayos | Category: News | Comments : 0 comments

One of the movies we watched was the highly anticipated production by Tic Toc Studios.  Tic Toc Studios is a Holland, Michigan based movie production company headed by Hopwood Dupree.

“Tug” was filmed entirely in the Holland area in the summer of 2008.  “Tug” was one of the first movies to start production in West Michigan after the the passing of the state film incentives April 7, 2008.

The movie – starring Sam Huntington, Haylie Duff, Sarah Drew, David Zellner, Maulik Pancholy, Wendi Mclendon-Covey, Yeardley Smith, and Zachary Knighton.

The plot synopsis from TicTock Studios:  A small town Michigan guy (Sam Huntington) has his life begin to hilariously unravel as he is torn between staying with his current girlfriend (Sarah Drew), or bouncing back to his psycho ex (Haylie Duff).  Life would be so much easier if he could just follow his better judgment.  But he can’t.

The better judgment would have been if the selection committee of the Waterfront Film Festival, to have not shown the movie “Tug” to a sold-out audience of over 750.

We initially arrived to a nearly two block line outside of it’s venue screening, with a very lively crowd.  Upon being seated, the primarily local partisan crowd was vocal and quite happy.  Mr. Dupree addressed the sold out audience touting it’s first full feature production.

We were opened to a very surprising short film called “The Thong,” which took the audience into attention mode.  “The Thong” set up “Tug” for a very fast downhill ride, and this was not a roller coaster.

“Tug” a directorial debut by Abram Makowka.  The film is a nice little picture, that is a bit unfocused.  Sam Huntington plays the film’s unnamed lead character, who is a wannabe screenwriter living in Michigan.  He has a good relationship with his girlfriend, played by Sarah Drew, but his relationship is threatened by an ex-girlfriend who won’t leave him alone.  This crazy ex-girlfriend only increases Huntington’s  uncertain life and the film follows him as he tries to gets his life in order.

The best thing about the film is the performance of Sam Huntington.  He is a very relatable presence on-screen.  You do feel like you could be his character.  Zachary King also delivers a good comedic performance as Huntington’s best friend in the film.  One problem with the film is that I didn’t feel that there were any life changing stakes involved in the story.  Some of the major plot changing scenes in the film are tired out; we have seen these scenes before in other films done better.  Towards the end of the film I grew frustrated and just wanted this guy to make a decision and move on with his life.  I liked the performances better than the film’s story.

It seems that the uncertainty in this movie is transferred to the audience, as most did not know how to clap upon it’s ending.   I am hoping that Tic Toc Studios next production to be touted from Michigan has less uncertainty, and better judgment.

The movie made its premiere April 29th at the 2010 Newport Beach Film Festival in southern California.  The movie also has a very limited website: http://www.tugmovie.com/.

A commentary by:

Jonathan C. Rayos

CEO :: Executive Producer :: Founder

FilmEmerge

http://www.filmemerge.com

Entrants to Private Equity Finance for Independent Feature Film Funding

Thoughts on the opportunities and potential returns  for a new private equity film fund .

I would suggest a focus be on three areas namely: 1. Interim financing (aka”Bridge Financing”) required by the producers of a film at the point when a project is “financed” by virtue of legally binding offers from acceptable parties and the finalization of long form documentation on which such offers are conditional. 2. The cash flowing of (“Tax Break Funding”) available to film productions in various jurisdictions. 3. Mezzanine finance (“Gap Funding”) secured against the unsold rights of individual films.

My comments on these investment opportunities are as follows:

BRIDGE FINANCING Financing of independent films is a complex and fragmented process, involving numerous parties. The finance for many pictures often does not ‘close’, and funds are not available for drawdown in time to commence principal photography. A typical film requires as much as 10% of its funding up to 8 weeks prior to the start of filming means that without a source of cash flow from Bridge Financing, a production can be seriously compromised. An unfortunate fact is this problem is never greater than when a bank is involved in the financing and this applies to the majority of independent films; a conservative estimate is that films with budgets equating to 50% of the sectors’ aggregate production value* have a bridging requirement. Bridge Financing is an extremely specialized market and can only be managed properly individuals with knowledge of all aspects of film finance.  The bridging requirement is typically 20% of a film’s budget and the market affords repayment plus a 15% fee on closing of finance. The bank’s lawyers typically finalize documentation in two months, i.e this is the Bridge Fund loan period and, again conservatively, it is reasonable to assume that a Bridge Fund will turn over three times each year. A Bridge Financing proposal could not be recommended without legally binding offer letters in place, subject to the completion of long form documentation. These should support the need for an amount totaling a “strike price” endorsed by an acceptable completion bonding entity. In the case of media lending banks and state bodies providing subsidies or spend related tax breaks then once their offer letters, lawyers instructions and first drafts of key documents are in place, you would deem this sufficient to proceed with the Bridge Financing. However other financiers would be required to place their funds on an escrow account, pending financial close, in advance of drawdown of bridging funds. Similarly, legally binding pre-sale contracts being discounted by the bank in question, a letter of intent from an acceptable completion bond company confirming that the strike price would be met from the sum total of the conditional financing offers, contracts with key talent and a legal opinion with regard to chain of title would all need to have been executed prior to drawdown.

TAX BREAK FUNDING In today’s market it is almost inconceivable that an independent film will be financed without the aid of tax breaks. In truth production companies gravitate to such jurisdictions to avail themselves of what is effectively non-recoupable finance. It is reasonable to assume that such tax breaks would account for at least 15% of a film’s budget. The downside of state tax schemes to producers is that, being spend related, the benefit in cash terms only becomes available after audited proof that the associated expenditure has been incurred. At its worst this can mean waiting until completion of the film although many schemes, most notably those in the US, pay out within three months. Given this time lag there is undoubtedly a huge demand for a fund to cash flow against future tax revenues as the cash flowed amount is typically required to complete the financing for strike price purpose. Although the credit risk to a fund offering Tax Break Funding is more than acceptable, given that it lies with the public sector, the competition to supply this type of finance is, at the moment, limited. Fees payable on such finance are typically 10% of funds advanced but, not unlike bridging funding, annual returns are enhanced by the fact that investment could easily be turned over twice a year. Any Tax Break Funding proposal would be conditional on a local auditor confirming in advance the value of the tax break based upon the legislation then in place and the budgeted spend. The costs of such audit would be charged to the budget of the film in question. Funding would also be conditional, inter alia, on the completion bond company providing comfort that the actual spend in the relevant jurisdiction will be in line with the budgeted spend.

GAP FUNDING The term “gap finance”, an element of which appears in just about all independent film finance plans, relates to the provision of funding secured against future revenues generated from the sale of those rights unsold at the time of the initial financing of the film.  The key remaining private sector providers of gap finance are the traditional media banks who are currently providing a maximum of 15% of the budget. It is my belief that there is a fundamental flaw in the media banks’ lending strategy in that their analysis focuses too greatly on the ratio of the value of unsold rights to the amount of gap finance provided and places insufficient emphasis on what total sales as a percentage of budget need to be in order to recoup. In short, all other things being equal, a 25% gap finance provision with 90% of worldwide rights unsold by value represents a safer financing opportunity than a 15% gap investment with only 30% of worldwide rights still available for sale. Given the above, and the competitive edge that a private equity fund has over a bank in terms of its ability to commit more quickly, my recommendation would be to compete with the media banks’ gap funding rather than provide so called “super-gap” finance alongside but subordinated to them. A 25% gap provision would undoubtedly secure a significant, say 20%, share of the total, bank and non-bank, market today. Such a percentage would attract an executive producer fee at a minimum of 3% of a film’s total budget plus a 20% premium on investment recoupable together with the principal in first position. In terms of timing the typical production cycle extends to ten months. Allowing four months to deliver and collect under sales contracts I would estimate funds to be turned over within fourteen months. There is the option to discount these contracts with a bank as and when they are fully documented, thereby expediting the timing of availability of funds for reinvestment, but this would need to be weighed up against the cost of lending. Aside from executive producer fees and investment premiums the private equity fund may be entitled to a real profit share, namely one that is triggered immediately on repayment of all recoupable sums (often as little as 80% of budget) and sales commissions. The premiums on investment detailed above are, by the favorable nature of their place in the revenue “food chain”, to a large extent a trade off for a profit participation. Accordingly, even though a small profit share should be achievable, I have not provided for this in the return on equity calculation detailed below. The key to Gap Funding is undoubtedly the identity of the sales agent and charged with selling the rights to a film. Accordingly such funding will be conditional, on the sales estimates, against which it is secured, originating from an acceptable party and in an amount, net of commission, to provide sufficient cover for the principal amount and the associated premium to be recouped. An offer of Gap Funding at 25% of a film’s budget will be sufficient.

Jonathan C. Rayos

CEO | President | Executive Producer

FilmEmerge | FilmEmerge Foundation | FilmEmerge Productions

www.filmemerge.com

ANY INVESTMENT IN FILMED ENTERTAINMENT IS SPECULATIVE AND INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISKS INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE POTENTIAL FOR LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF THE INVESTED CAPITAL, A FILM’S LACK OF AN OPERATING HISTORY, LIMITED REGULATION OF A FILM’S ACTIVITIES, THE RISKS OF THE TYPES OF INVESTMENTS TO BE MADE BY A FILM, A FILM’S POTENTIAL USE OF LEVERAGE, NO OR LIMITED LIQUIDITY OF THE INVESTOR’S INTEREST IN A FILM, LACK OF DIVERSIFICATION OF THE FUND’S INVESTMENTS, POSSIBLE NEED FOR FOLLOW-UP INVESTMENTS, MANAGER CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, POTENTIAL FOR REDUCED PERFORMANCE DUE TO SIGNIFICANT FEES AND EXPENSES AND MANAGER’S PERFORMANCE BASED COMPENSATION. INVESTORS WHICH HAVE A PRELIMINARY INTEREST IN THE FILM SHOULD UNDERSTAND ALL SUCH RISKS AND HAVE THE FINANCIAL ABILITY AND WILLINGNESS TO ACCEPT SUCH RISK FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME BEFORE CONSIDERING MAKING AN INVESTMENT IN A FILM.

(Social Media Expert PanelHollywood, CA)  This year’s Los Angeles Showbiz Expo took place last weekend, April 24-25, at the Los Angeles Convention Center. While the actual exposition was smaller than in years past, I found the real value to be the wide range of workshops offering valuable insight by industry veterans. One such workshop I attended and found especially valuable was titled “Social Media for Film & TV.” The panel was moderated by Robin Rowe (Co-founder| ScreeenPlayLab , COO | MovieEditor.com) and Gabrielle Pantera (Co-Founder | ScreenPlayLab, Executive Producer | Gosh!TV) and included the following impressive ensemble of entertainment industry social media experts:

Jeff Ragovin (CRO | Buddy Media)
Jan Coleman (Executive Producer | MTV’s “The Buried Life”)
Todd Greene (Consultant | MovieSet)
Linda Nelson (Co-Founder | Nelson Madison Films/Indie Rights)
Adam Armus (Executive Producer | NBC TV’s “Heroes”)

The workshop experts offered a nearly constant stream of social media “takeaways” that can be used by anyone interested promoting themselves or their project online. Below are my top 10 list of “takeaways” from this session:

  • Create an online presence from day 1 of your project! It is never too early to start building a fanbase.
  • The Facebook page for your project should be separate from your personal profile page.
  • Let go of your content! Let people get involved that otherwise would not.
  • Build an audience and the sponsors (read: money) will follow!
  • Social media feeds are proving to be a more accurate predictor of box office revenues than more traditional methods (http://mashable.com/2010/04/02/twitter-the-killer-box-office-predictor-2/)
  • Use social media to let others tell their story!
  • Advertise on Facebook. It is very targeted and cheap!
  • With the disappearance of middlemen it is now up to you to find the target audience for your project!
  • Millennials gravitate towards authentic prosocial action. The key word is authentic!
  • Find a “voice” for your Twitter feed. Use separate Twitter accounts for different voices.
  • Feedback from social media can act like a focus group and may be used to help direct your project as it is being developed.

Yes, I know there are actually 11 items here. I threw in the last one for free! Good luck on your next project. Just remember to go out, go online and BE SEEN!

Jason Waterman
CTO & Co-Founder | FilmEmerge

http://www.filmemerge.com

The latest  news that ‘Spiderman director Mark Webb is consulting with Cameron himself on how best to use 3-D.

Just a month ago,  ‘Spider-Man 4′ was going to be a conventional sequel, with director Sam Raimi and Tobey Maquire  still attached, and that Raimi, inspired by ‘Avatar,’ wanted to make a film with unusually elaborate — but not 3-D — special effects.

You may also recall that Sony abruptly scrapped this story idea as too expensive and time-consuming, parted ways with its expensive director and star and hired the bargain-priced  Webb who agreed to make the new movie in 3-D.

Both Raimi and the studio wants the next Spidey to be more like ‘Avatar’ but they didn’t agree on what that meant. To Raimi, it meant extra spectacle for the audience. To Sony, it meant the audience should pay extra to wear spectacles.

http://www.filmemerge.com

Do you think Hollywood is Going Too Crazy with 3D?

Written By: Jonathan Rayos | Category: News | Comments : 0 comments

The last couple weeks, television commercials for ‘Clash’ have been airing that are downright stunning. There’s just one problem: The pristine 2D version we’re catching a glimpse of on TV looks far better than the dark, choppy 3D version we’re paying extra cash for in theaters.

Sure, 3D can be fun, if done well, but does every film need to be in 3D? Of course, considering the box-office take of ‘Clash of the Titans’ this past weekend, it’s pretty safe to say that the 3D debate is officially … well … it’s still officially up in the air.

‘Clash of the Titans’ grossed $61.4 million over the weekend, amid mixed reviews and a downright putrid assessment concerning the film’s 3D effects.

Unlike ‘Avatar’– the most successful film of all time at the box office and a movie that was filmed with 3D cameras — ‘Clash of the Titans’ was never meant to be seen in 3D. How did the up-conversion go over with critics and experts? Not well. Not well at all.

Moviefone co-founder Russ Leatherman (aka Mr. Moviefone) said he “was one of the very first on the 3D bandwagon, but I’m about to jump off. Because of pure greed, Hollywood studios [and theater chains] are about to kill the golden goose. There’s a huge difference between the immersive experience of seeing ‘Up’ or ‘Avatar’ in 3D or the lousy, suffocating experience of the retrofitted ‘Clash of the Titans.’”

The vitriol towards Clash’s 3D didn’t seem to help or hurt the final box office. ‘Clash’ was projected to haul in between $60 million and $70 million; it made $64.1 million over the weekend, right on target.

‘Clash’ was up-converted (there’s that word again) as a direct result of ‘Avatar’s’ box-office dominance. The question is, how long will the ‘Avatar’ 3D cash-grab last? What will it take for moviegoers to defer back to the superior (as in the case of ‘Clash’) 2D, while saving a few dollars at the box office?

And we’ve been here before. ‘Alice in Wonderland,’ a film that also did quite well at the box office, was, like ‘Clash,’ up-converted to less-than-stellar reviews. ‘Avatar’ director James Cameron, who now seems to be the go-to guy when discussing 3D technology, doesn’t believe these films should even be considered 3D. “It’s never going to be as good as if you shot it in 3D,” Cameron said recently, “but think of it as sort of 2.8D.” And even 2.8D, as Cameron notes, is only possible if the proper time — six months to a year — is spent on the up-conversion.

Until recently, 3D was relatively rare — in 2007 there were only two major 3D releases (‘Beowulf’ and ‘Meet the Robinsons’). Now, in 2010 alone, there are (give or take) 15 films slated to be released in 3D.

It would seem 3D is here to stay, unless it isn’t. Meaning: The first gigantic 3D failure — where audiences outright reject a sub-par product — will certainly make studios think twice about a costly 3D film shoot or up-convert. What industry insiders fear, though, is that a terrible up-convert, which doesn’t properly take advantage of the technology available, will unfairly saddle the industry with the perception of an inferior product.

It does appear that for the near-future, audiences will still flock to the theater to see 3D, but that won’t last long. Now that’s it’s becoming commonplace, it’s going to take some pretty mind-blowing effects to spark the interest that ‘Avatar’ did.

Speaking of ‘Avatar,’ director James Cameron, always a visionary it seems, appears to be temporarily jumping off the 3D bandwagon just as everyone else is jumping on — announcing that his re-release of ‘Avatar’ (called ‘Avatar: Home’) this summer, with 55 minutes of new footage, will not be released in 3D.

“The 3D distracts from that”! Wise words, it would seem. Though, 3D has yet to distract from the box office — at least not yet.

Jonathan C Rayos

CEO | Founder

FilmEmerge | FilmEmerge Foundation

http://www.filmemerge.com

The “D” Film Industry Represents Well in LA!

Written By: Jason | Category: News | Comments : 1 comment

Beverly Hills, CA – The 2nd Annual Film Detroit Panel Discussion took place Tue night, March 23rd at the WGA West Theatre in Beverly Hills. Twelve expert panelists from Detroit and their supporters traveled from Detroit to Los Angeles to present and answer questions about the state of the Michigan Film Industry. The two hour event was hosted by Chris Baum of Film Detroit and featured two panelist discussions – ‘People’ & ‘Places’. Over 200 attendees, mostly representing various Los Angeles based entertainment and production companies, came to learn more about the emerging Michigan Film Industry.

Panel #1: ‘People’ expert panelists included:  Paul Fitzpatrick (Entertainment lawyer for Dickinson Wright), Ele Bardha (SAG Council Member), Joe Bessacini (Cast & Crew), and Carrie Ray (Owner of Carrie Ray Casting). Discussion topics centered on the growing experience level of Michigan cast and crews, moving of productions from Iowa to Michigan after the freezing of the tax credit in that state, availability of numerous cheap Detroit filming locations including hospitals and schools, and, of course, several questions concerning the details of the Michigan tax credit law.

Panel #2: ‘Places’ expert panelists included: Bart Rosenblatt (Producer of ‘The Irishman’), Jeff Spilman (Managing partner of S3 Entertainment Group), and Tony Wenson (Studio Operations Director for Raleigh Studios Michigan). Discussion topics for this session centered on the state incentive process, the status of the new Raleigh Studios in Michigan, and the new production permit processes for local cities.

A hosted reception followed the panel sessions and provided an opportunity for the Detroit and Los Angeles film communities to discuss together in a more informal and relaxed atmosphere. There was definitely a buzz in the air and the feeling that this is just the beginning of more good things to come for film in Michigan. After all, it is at events like this where partnerships are formed and deals are made in the City of Angels!

Thanks again to Film Detroit for the great Detroit hospitality shown and for putting on such a first class event!

032310_ENT_AAFF_MRM_02.jpg

Costumed gorilla helped liven up the first night of the Ann Arbor Film Festival.

Two hours before anything hit the screen, AAFF’s opening reception attendees milled around the Michigan Theater lobby, where a DJ spun music on the stairway landing, and partygoers downed wine and coffee and various hors d’ouevres on offer.

The mood carried through to the short breaks between the films in AAFF’s opening night program. During one pause, attendees whistled like birds, and then cooed like pigeons. The animal noises grew louder, until a bleating lamb joined in, as did a clucking chicken. 

After some opening remarks by Michigan Theater executive director Russ Collins; AAFF Board of Directors president Bruce Baker; and AAFF executive director Donald Harrison, the 48th fest kicked off with a backward glance to film poem, “Angel Blue Sweet Wings,” with Aretha Franklin’s “Dr. Feelgood” as its soundtrack. 

4 of the evening’s 11 films fall into AAFF’s animation category. Joanna Priestley’s “Missed Aches” explores the disastrous potentials of spell-check programs; Naoyuki Tsuji’s “The Place Where We Were,” tells the story of a couple that wants a child; Laurie Hill’s inventively fun “Photograph of Jesus” and Caveh Zahedi’s hilarious “The Unmaking of ‘I Am a Sex Addict’”.

Documentary lovers got to see Vanessa Renwick’s “Portrait #3: House of Sound.” And Ann Arbor’s own Jack Cronin got to watch his black and white experimental doc, “Sleeping Bear” – filmed at the Sleeping Bear Dunes Natural Lakeshore – on the big screen.

Experimental films included, “De Mouvement,” by Richard Kerr, and Kent Lambert’s “Fantasy Suite.”

Ann Arbor Film Festival Director Donald Harrison



The 3-D Wars

Written By: Jonathan Rayos | Category: News | Comments : 0 comments

 

AVATAR - Highest grossing film of all time

A few weeks ago I found myself in the projection booth of an Imax theater, (along with several other of my geek buddies) of one of the most advanced projection booth on the planet.  And as I looked out through the window over the audience, I noted that it was a packed house. Here it was just days before Avatar was being pulled out of the theaters to be replaced by Alice in Wonderland and they were still selling out shows on weeknights to a nearly 3 month old movie. 
After being yanked out of 3-D screens nationwide, Avatar’s weekly gross – which had held steady for quite some time – dropped dramatically. As it turns out, people were, as Cameron had long surmised, paying again and again to get the immersive 3-D experience; going on a cinematic theme park ride for the third or fourth time. But the ride’s existence at the park was cut short because there simply aren’t enough 3-D screens in the world yet to support multiple, big draw 3-D movies. Immediately FOX and Cameron began to speak about a possible Fall re-release of the film (when the window would be open without a big budget 3-D film to interfere) and even have tossed around the notion of cutting scenes back into the film. 

Of course, despite 40 minutes of deleted footage, Cameron only wants to put 10 minutes back in – because 170 minutes is as long as IMAX can support . Besides, why wouldn’t Cameron want his film re-released in the best possible theater? Avatar is the highest grossing movie of all time – the 14th highest when adjusted for inflation against films that enjoyed sometimes decades of re-releases – but its run wasn’t done yet. It had not, as some bitter bloggers have noted this week, run its course. It was still making more money every week than most other new releases. But it looks like FOX and Cameron have a small, but profitable window waiting for them to shake out any interest left. 

My question is this: now that every studio is turning their tent-pole releases into 3-D projects, whether before or after filming, how long can the current screenClash of the Titans limitations allow for an Avatar? FOX wasn’t happy the their film was bumped out of theaters despite still making money – and many theaters weren’t happy to see that steady income go away in lieu of a gamble that might not pay off in the long run. Right now many people are excited about the coming stream of 3-D content, and while industry folk seem to be writing piece after piece denouncing the rising trend of 3-D, it isn’t in any way diminishing real interest in the films. 

There are a limited amount of screens in this country capable of showing 3-D movies. It requires expensive pure silver screens, top of the line digital projectors and often eats up the largest seating areas in a Cineplex. What’s going to happen when the weekly summer tent-poles that pop in, dominate the chart for a week or two and then slowly fade away over the course of a few weeks all instead begin fighting over the same handful of screens in a given area? What will happen if movies can only secure a 2 week 3-D run – or worse, can’t book a screen at all because another company has booked them up by locking in their release date a year or two in advance? 

This is the next, big, ugly trend you’ll see us writing about, folks. The 3-D Wars. You think the studios can get ugly now? Wait until the question isn’t “who made the better or more marketable movie” and becomes “Who can book all the 3-D screens first?”

Jonathan C Rayos

CEO || Founding Partner

http://www.filmemerge.com

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